Schwab's Unrealized Bond Losses Widen to US$19.4 billion

Schwab reports US$19.4 billion unrealized losses (pre-tax) on US mortgage securities held under held-to-maturity accounting. Plus US$11.8 billion unrealized losses on available-for-sale portfolio. Compares to US$28.3 billion common equity & US$9.7 billion average tangible equity. "The low yield on HTM bond portfolios could weigh on the returns at Schwab and many banks for years". "Schwab’s deposit base fell 30% in the past year to US$291 billion".

Bank of Canada "ultra-low interest rates may not return"

Carolyn Rogers, Bank of Canada: "Canadians expecting a return to the ultra-low rate environment of the last decade and a half may be sorely disappointed, noting the rock-bottom rate environment in the wake of the Great Financial Crisis was an outlier, not the rule."

Portugal approves 30% cut in mortgage rates for struggling borrowers

“Portugal's government said on Thursday that banks must discount the benchmark six-month Euribor rate by 30% when calculating mortgage interest rates if asked to do so by borrowers struggling to deal with rising interest rates and avoid default. Around 90% of Portugal's stock of 1.4 million mortgages have variable rates indexed to euro interbank offered rates (Euribor) , one of the highest levels in the euro zone.”

Canada inflation jumps to 4%. October rate hike bets rise

“Canada's annual inflation rate in August jumped to 4.0% from 3.3% in July on higher gasoline prices, data showed on Tuesday, a sign the central bank may be forced to raise interest rates yet again after 10 hikes since March of last year.”

Borrowers at TD, BMO, CIBC see their mortgages balloon due to sharp rise in interest rates

“Three major Canadian banks have disclosed that about 20 per cent of their residential mortgage borrowers – representing nearly $130-billion in loans – are seeing their balances grow as their monthly payments no longer cover all the interest they owe.”

FDIC launches sale of $18.5 billion of Signature Bank loans

FDIC to sell US$18.5bn loan portfolio from failed Signature Bank. Portfolio of 201 performing capital-call loans tied to private equity and investment firms - including Starwood Capital Group; Carlyle Group; Blackstone; Thoma Bravo; and Brookfield Asset Management.

Financial regulator OSFI raises minimum capital amount that big banks must have on hand to cover losses

“Canada's financial regulator is raising the amount of capital the country's major banks need to have on hand to cover potential losses as it says financial system vulnerabilities remain elevated and in some cases have continued to increase. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions said Tuesday that the domestic stability buffer will increase by half a percentage point to 3.5 per cent, effective Nov. 1.”

FDIC Floats Proposal of Higher Insurance for Business Bank Accounts

“The FDIC released a report Monday outlining options for changing the deposit insurance system to guard against the bank run that brought down Silicon Valley Bank in March. The regulator favored raising the current insurance limit for certain accounts, including business payment accounts.”

Why the shadow banking sector is keeping Canada's financial regulators up at night

“OSFI concerned banks have hidden exposure to unregulated private lending sector … The concerns are thought to have risen higher on the regulator’s radar due, at least in part, to a perception of growing valuation risk in privately held commercial real estate, particularly the office segment where publicly traded assets have declined by as much as 50 per cent as remote work leaves buildings with vacancies.”

First Republic is seized and bulk sold to JP Morgan

First Republic Bank, recently US$233bn assets, seized by FDIC & sold to JP Morgan. US$13bn loss to FDIC on off-market loans. "It was a run on the business model" of reliance on high-service, low-rate deposits to fund low-rate loans.
Following large, rapid deposit withdrawals then subsequent wholesale funding had materially higher cost than legacy deposits.
At current interest rates, loan portfolio included large unrealized losses due to their origination at historically lower interest rates

US approach to financial regulation is set up to fail

Interesting opinion piece. Will be interesting to see regulatory response to recent banking collapses. Refocus to principles-based regulation? Bolstered governance expectations? Elevated QRM? Escalated capital requirements for strategic risks? Reset of regulatory intensity or proportionality hurdles? Re-weighting of industry vs entity regulatory risks? Executive compensation clawbacks? Mandated independent board directors?

Principal-agent theory. There will probably always be bad actor CEOs that prioritize professional glory; personal compensation; office/industry politics; and/or short-term performance over long-term organizational sustainability and owner/member interests.